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tim333 2 days ago
They have a lot of border with the newly energised Russia.
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knowhy 2 days ago
Does "energized" imply increased threat of attack? From the country which failed to successfully invade Ukraine ... I don't get the logic behind that thinking.
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Yizahi 2 days ago
To me, a Ukrainian, it looks like Ruzzia had invaded Ukraine quite successfully and continues doing so. What exactly would prevent Ruzzian army from invading Finland if they would wish to do it? Say for example a battle group takes a Koitsanlahti city and stops there, the official explanation is that they are protecting some pink ponies... ahem... locals over there. Now what? Looks quite successful to me.
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tim333 2 days ago
The theory is NATO article 5 would kick in and prevent that but given Trump's seeming loyalty to Moscow he'd probably be saying Finland shouldn't have started the war and will have to give up some land for peace, and France and Germany may elect pro Russian governments shortly.
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Yizahi 23 hours ago
Article 5

"The Parties agree that an armed attack against one or more of them in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all and consequently they agree that, if such an armed attack occurs, each of them, in exercise of the right of individual or collective self-defence recognised by Article 51 of the Charter of the United Nations, will assist the Party or Parties so attacked by taking forthwith, individually and in concert with the other Parties, such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area.

Any such armed attack and all measures taken as a result thereof shall immediately be reported to the Security Council. Such measures shall be terminated when the Security Council has taken the measures necessary to restore and maintain international peace and security."

Ok, all other members "assisted" Finland "as they deem necessary". No one sent armed forces, to prevent provoking friend Vlad or else... And why even bother, there is no fighting in Finland, Ruzzian force is standing guarding the city and is digging in. Why provoke Putin then if no one is getting hurt. Instead they are all collectively pressuring and blackmailing Finland to not counterattack.

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knowhy 2 days ago
If the current state if the Ukraine war is success from Russian perspective how would a failure look like?
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Yizahi 23 hours ago
Invasion was successful because they successfully moved their armies into Ukraine and they are still there. Invasion would fail if they didn't manage to do that.

Rational people still, in 2026, operate under a notion that Putin has some definitive target. Well, he does not, the invasion IS a target. The process is a target. So while the war goes on, the whole operation is a success to him personally.

Same with hypothetical NATO invasion. It's target won't be neither victory over the alliance, nor any gains in territory or cities. The point would be to create a permanent ongoing invasion(s) inside NATO member's borders and sustain it.

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tim333 2 days ago
I think Biden, the UK and others in Feb 2022 should have said to Putin that if he invades the air forces of those countries would take out the invading troops which probably would have resulted in it not happening at all, or maybe being repelled.

As it is it's kind of a mess with many dead on both sides.

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SanjayMehta 14 hours ago
It's Russia, not Ruzzia.
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Waterluvian 2 days ago
The Americans are abandoning their post in the world, so the world is adjusting to get on without them. I think it’s probably a good thing long term that Europe grows to protect itself from Russian aggression without having to rely on the unreliable.
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gatlin 2 days ago
What does America failing have to do with geriatric Russia not posing a threat to anyone? Do you believe America has been keeping the lid on some seal and protecting people?
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tim333 24 hours ago
They plus NATO have played a part in restraining Russia from doing its expanding thing since WW2.

It's still #1 in nukes and close to the top in belligerence.

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gatlin 4 hours ago
Do you believe the recent incursion into Ukraine was because of an expansionist goal on the part of Russia? Do you earnestly think Russia wants to control Europe politically?
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msandford 2 days ago
Europe as a whole has also failed to hit NATO defense spending targets, for at least a decade. Look at this article from 2016. https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2016/07/nato-spending-two-c...

At some point a partnership isn't a partnership if people don't participate.

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Waterluvian 2 days ago
It's absolutely true that almost all of NATO was not doing their part and should have been. It's good that they're starting to. But the U.S. enjoyed and benefitted greatly from that command of soft power. The U.S. has now transitioned to being a transactional hegemon, which leads to the divestment of that power. This is dangerous for us all because Americans will either have to accept their lesser position in the world, or will double down on using violence and aggression to maintain their status. The latter is almost exclusively what we've been enduring over the past years.
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Daviey 19 hours ago
That may be true, but in the history of NATO how many countries have invoked Article 5, and which countries answered that call?
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piva00 2 days ago
Well, then it's time for the USA to pack it up from all bases in Europe and go back home, if it isn't a partnership there's no need to be loitering around for this long, no?
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myersj 2 days ago
> At some point a partnership isn't a partnership if people don't participate.

Similarly, at some point people should wonder what else might come out of a partnership aside from raw spending dollars and whether there is value there, instead of simply parroting stupid domestic bumper stickers as if they have value or add insight.

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pizza234 2 days ago
> From the country which failed to successfully invade Ukraine

True, but that doesn't make the war itself any less significant.

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AlecSchueler 2 days ago
Ukraine could well have been a different story without US support, and US support is no longer a given.
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wongarsu 2 days ago
Ukraine depends on weapons and ammunition shipments from the EU and US. Continued US support continues to be uncertain. The EU is set on continued support of Ukraine, but an attack on Finland or the Baltic countries might be a way to force EU countries to reroute many of these shipments to defending that new flank

The other angle is that Putin is in a precarious situation if he can't win in Ukraine. Too much has been invested, to many sacrifices made. And a lot of his political power depends on him looking strong. He could be looking for some way to find a quick victory somewhere else

I don't believe either of these are likely scenarios. But Putin is increasingly backed into the corner and has already proven that he will take risky bets on starting new wars. Every country bordering Russia is well-advised to make themselves look like a well-defended place where the Russian military would only be bogged down in another quagmire

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bryanlarsen 2 days ago
Countries do not invade if they think they can increase their chance of success by waiting. They invade when they feel backed in a corner, when they're desperate, when they think an invasion will be harder next year than this.

That's the main consideration protecting Taiwan right now -- China thinks that their position relative to Taiwan/US will be better a decade from now. OTOH, a Putin/Russia that is losing their position is when they are most dangerous.

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tim333 2 days ago
I hope you are right that there's no problem but Trump seems to be doing his best to help Russia win.
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knowhy 2 days ago
I assume that Russia invaded Ukraine with the intent to win the war within weeks or maybe a few months. It is a disaster for Russia. Even a full victory now would not be a outcome where one could expect that Russia would want to start direct war with NATO because they licked blood.
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SanjayMehta 2 days ago
Trump is motivated by money, he's seen there's nothing left in The Ukraine for him.
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SanjayMehta 2 days ago
But EU/NATO leaders think that after The Ukraine, Paris is next.
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tim333 2 days ago
Paris wouldn't be next for troops. Probably Latvia or somewhere like that. But Paris is very much a current thing for Russia trying to get Marcon out and Le Pen in. I'm curious how much of the recent riots have been fanned by Russian bots.
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ohihcocyc 2 days ago
There is no “The” in Ukraine.
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SanjayMehta 2 days ago
Disagree.

It may be politically incorrect to call "The Borderlands" "The Ukraine," but it's grammatically correct.

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tim333 2 days ago
Depends in which language. Apparently in Russian it comes out like the borderlands but in Ukrainian it is one word meaning land or our land. In English it depends a bit if you consider it a country or some rebellious Russian border areas.
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ohihcocyc 2 days ago
They’re aware of what they were saying. You don’t make a response about political correctness unless you’re trying to make a political statement.
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Yizahi 2 days ago
Oh look, a paid propagandist in the wild on HN. You lot don't survive here for too long. Go learn English language rules and then come back (or better don't).
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SanjayMehta 14 hours ago
Only on western propaganda outlets does one get accused of being paid to tell the truth.

Go learn some real history. Hint: a book, not Wikipedia.

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ohihcocyc 2 days ago
It may be grammatically correct to say “You’re an ignorant twat with a whore for a mother.” But that doesn't make it an accceptable thing to say.
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Yizahi 2 days ago
After reading its older comments, it seems your phrase is rather too polite :) . What a crazy account, like every comment is either a lie or a an insult.
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SanjayMehta 2 days ago
Projection much?
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thisislife2 2 days ago
Welcome to the funny realm of European propaganda where Russia is simultaneously the biggest imaginable military threat possible to the world while also being a joke.
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freetonik 2 days ago
A drunk violent guy with a shotgun is a joke but a threat nonetheless. Don't see a paradox here.
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knowhy 2 days ago
The paradox is that the Russian nuclear threat is ignored.
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enoint 2 days ago
Play hybrid warfare, win a hybrid reputation.
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jayzalowitz 2 days ago
energized, interesting choice of words considering their recent power plant losses. Was this a pun?
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tim333 2 days ago
Pun not intended. I was thinking of the general ramping up of Russian military activity including indirect attacks on NATO countries like the Leipzig drones.
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comrade1234 2 days ago
From previous articles about this, they won't be deployed now. They will be deployed if needed.
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danbruc 2 days ago
If you placed those mines just in case, would wildlife not trigger one from time to time? How long until they would be mostly gone? And how long do they survive in the wild until they become unreliable or dangerous to handle? How hard would it be to replace or remove them if no longer needed?
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tim333 2 days ago
Depends on your mine. Some are now programed to explode after say three months to avoid the problem of them being a threat for a long time. A lot get laid just in time by drones rather than staying there for ages.
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iamnothere 2 days ago
A certain percent will fail to detonate automatically, so the area will still be unsafe for decades (or longer). Same issue with cluster munitions and high intensity bombing.

Hopefully they are treating these as a quickly deployable defense of last resort and not deploying them in advance. Mines can be deployed by special artillery shells and drones, but generally they shouldn’t be, ever.

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mopsi 2 days ago
No point in deploying them in advance. Finland has proper winters and with the freezing/thawing cycle, the mines would end up god knows where. I myself once discovered an unexploded WWII aerial bomb that popped up out of nowhere one spring on a field that was in constant farming use.
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Gualdrapo 2 days ago
Here in Colombia we still have a lot. I'd say the previous government would tell them they could take them out here for free and we would gave them a couple hippos as extra but with this current one I'd bet they would ask for them more money than if they were new.
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antisthenes 2 days ago
I'm more interested in the economics here - is it realistic to produce a land mine for under 100 Euros if you include CapEx and your volume is 1 million units?
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SanjayMehta 2 days ago
Are they also going to revive their concentration camps?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/East_Karelian_concentration_ca...